[arrl-odv:15804] Document 8 CEO Reoprt

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NøF;.U&U&d -0:-U&|0i|0U&iNN::::ÙDocument #8 ARRL Board of Directors 2007 Second Meeting July 20-21, 2007 Report of the Chief Executive Officer In January I observed, “In short, as 2007 begins Amateur Radio is poised for growth.” At midyear I am pleased to say that we have indeed experienced some growth already, and there is reason for cautious optimism that we will be able to sustain modest growth into the future. Someone looking at the raw numbers of total licensees might ask, “WHAT growth?” The FCC no longer makes available licensing figures; the most reliable source I know of is Joe Speroni, AH0A, who makes them available at  HYPERLINK "http://www.ah0a.org"
www.ah0a.org. Joe’s numbers for “Total Amateur Radio Station Licenses” still have a slight downward trend, but this is an artifact of the 10-year license term. In other words, most of the licensees we’re losing through non-renewal actually dropped out years ago and their loss of interest is only now being reflected in the statistics. The number of General licensees bottomed out in January at 130,798 and has increased since then to more than 141,000, an increase of 8% in just five months or more than 19% on an annualized basis. While not as dramatic, there is also significant growth in the number of Extras: 2.2% in the same five-month period (about 5% on an annualized basis), compared to 0.7% for the same period a year earlier. About 2,000 Techs come up for renewal each month, many of them inactive and therefore less likely to renew than if they were active. Coupled with the strong trend toward upgrading, this means that it takes more than 2,000 new Technician licensees per month just to hold the number of Technicians steady. We expected the dropping of the Morse code requirement for General and Extra to have more impact on upgrading than on the number of new licensees, and that indeed has been the case. However, the number of new license applicants has been running ahead of recent years and remains ahead as we enter the usually quieter summer months. Since he has not seen a significant increase in the number of new licensees in New England, the usually inquisitive Tom Frenaye has taken a look at the number of new amateurs by division and by recent month. As one would expect, there are substantial variances from month to month although most divisions show a peak in March and a slight dropoff – though still above historic levels – since then. In the West Gulf Division, however, June was the biggest month. This could be a “HamCom Effect” although April and May also were strong. The Northwestern Division had the largest number of new licensees for three straight months, February through April. The Rocky Mountain, Pacific, Delta (for its size) and Southwestern Divisions also have posted above-average gains in the number of new licensees. Here are Tom’s figures, with the number of ARRL members per division for comparison purposes: New hams - from ARRL datahttp://www.arrl.org/members-only/NEAM/index.htmlDiv size Jun 07Dec 06Jan 07Feb 07Mar 07Apr 07May 07Jun 07Atlantic13,25310282125183182180127Central10,984908711519119111273Dakota3,20332143245476940Delta6,4258277109196132110105Great Lakes12,458158136163262241167120Hudson6,69247654569756980Midwest6,49047501301541156988New England9,2706265821061187376Northwestern10,178142151319377344175204Pacific9,609100270179262193254198Roanoke11,0759293191206154167136Rocky Mountain5,87785135159202170100151Southeastern14,069120144176261207220187Southwestern11,854168152259217224291252West Gulf11,02399115265268240260330Total1,4261,6362,3492,9992,6332,3162,167 One small caveat: The FCC doesn’t computer-code new licensees unambiguously, so a few of these “new hams” are actually upgrades who changed callsign at the same time. I can think of no reason why these occurrences should be more frequent in one part of the country than in another, so they should not affect the validity of comparisons – and in any case they are a small proportion of the total. If we drill down below division level it is likely that we will be able to identify specific locales as “hot spots.” Why are these areas of the country doing so much better than others in generating new hams? What can we do to spread the “magic” to other places? In the coming months we will try to answer these questions. As we discussed in January (and as reported in the March QST editorial), with February 23 approaching it was very important to signal that codeless HF licensees would be welcome in the ARRL. I am very proud of how the staff met this challenge with activities here in Newington on February 22-23 and the following weekend. About 100 Technicians and new upgrades were able to contact W1AW within hours of gaining their new privileges, and for many it was a memorable “first HF QSO.” Several staff members were among those who were able to operate on HF for the first time under their own licenses. Perhaps even more important, these activities set a welcoming example for the entire ARRL community – staff, volunteer and member alike. The amateur community seems to taken the cue, suggesting once again that the negativism we sometimes encounter (and often hear about) is not as widespread as it may seem to a casual observer. Membership ARRL membership is up by more than 2,000, or 1.4%, for the first six months of the year. In the 2007-2008 Operational Plan we anticipated membership growth of 3,700 for the full year, so at midyear we are more than halfway there. This follows a strong 4th Quarter 2006 that put us several hundred members ahead of the Plan’s anticipated starting point. As of the end of May we were just 394 members shy of where we hoped to end the year, although we lost a bit of ground in June. We cannot rest on our membership laurels, nor does staff have any intention of doing so. We have improved our pitch to new licensees and upgrades and will be offering a “starter kit” with a high perceived value as an enticement to join. Advocacy The most sincere compliments sometimes come from one’s adversaries, or former adversaries. When Michael Gallagher was head of the NTIA we regularly sparred on the subject of BPL, with Gallagher defending the Bush Administration’s line that BPL was the “third wire” to the home that the broadband market needed in order to increase competition and lower prices. Today, Michael Gallagher heads the Entertainment Software Association and is trying to motivate video gamers to defend video games against hostile legislators. In a July 10 interview with Reuters he said they should emulate “amateur radio operators who have zealously defended their right to use a slice of the public airwaves.” He is quoted as saying, “They are passionate, they are heard and they are accommodated. If there is one group to look at and say: ‘It can be done,’ simply look at the amateur radio community.” BPL Chris Imlay’s report includes the status of our lawsuit challenging the adequacy of the FCC’s BPL rules, so there is no need for me to repeat it here. However, it is worth remembering that our judicial appeal is not the only step we are taking to protect amateurs from BPL interference. We have bills in both Houses of Congress, HR 462 and S. 1629, seeking a new FCC study of BPL interference. While the number of co-sponsors is modest, each bill has bipartisan support and the House bill has attracted co-sponsorship from four members of the Committee on Energy and Commerce (plus three additional co-sponsors). We keep an eye on publicity about BPL, not to oppose BPL per se but to make sure that the interference potential is properly characterized and that specious claims about BPL’s benefits do not go unchallenged. One of the most common such claims is that, since power lines are ubiquitous, BPL offers a low-cost way to provide broadband service to consumers – which ignores the fact that a complex electronic device has to be placed on the power line every half-mile or so, with another at the customer’s power transformer and at least one more inside the customer’s home. The fact is that BPL offers no economic advantage in any setting and has not even been shown to be feasible in rural areas with low population densities. Another fact is that according to the FCC’s latest figures, there are only about 5,000 customers being served by BPL in the entire country. (One has to wonder why, when he comments on BPL, the FCC Chairman cites erroneous industry sources rather than the statistics collected by his own staff.) We continue to pressure the FCC to take appropriate enforcement action against BPL rules violators. While we would love to see the FCC actually take action against a violator such as Ambient, building a public record of FCC inaction is also useful in that it demonstrates the Commission’s lack of good faith. Internationally, the IARU’s status as a Sector Member of the ITU Radiocommunication Sector (ITU-R) has allowed us to introduce technical material about BPL (or PLT, as it is known internationally) interference into ITU documentation and to counter inaccurate and unsubstantiated material introduced by PLT proponents. In June, on behalf of the IARU I attended meetings in Geneva of ITU-R Working Parties (WP) 1A and 1C at which draft Recommendations and Reports relating to PLT interference levels and measurement techniques were being worked on. Unlike at a World Radiocommunication Conference, IARU representatives at such meetings are not simply observers and have the right to contribute documents and to speak. While members of the US delegation must toe the administration line even if they represent private interests, IARU representatives are under no such constraint and I was able, therefore, to engage in the debate. In one case this resulted in a draft Recommendation being downgraded to a draft Report, which is helpful because – in the words of one longtime observer of the ITU – “The only people who ever read ITU Reports are the people who write them.” Work on these documents is proceeding slowly – the next meeting at which further contributions will be reviewed is a year from now – in large part because there is little enthusiasm for PLT internationally. For example, I was told that there are no longer even any trials underway in the United Kingdom and that The Netherlands has decided against permitting PLT because of the interference problem. A contribution from Japan to WP 1A, while setting out rules for in-house PLTs that have been severely criticized by some Japanese amateurs, observed that “…experimental installation of access PLTs revealed that considerably high electromagnetic fields were generated by the PLTs. Hence, only in-house PLTs are allowed in Japan…. Access broadband PLT is not allowed in Japan.” Of course, I took every opportunity to highlight this during the WP meetings. While (for the reasons discussed below) we cannot give it as much public attention as our judicial and legislative initiatives, Ed Hare’s effort to work with the BPL industry has yielded good results. With very few exceptions, the BPL systems that are actually being deployed use hardware that is capable of providing protection to the amateur bands far in excess of what is required by the FCC’s inadequate rules. Most of the entries in the BPL database claim that notching of the amateur bands was (or will be) implemented at the time of installation, and in the case of the so-called “second generation” of DS2 chips the notching can be good enough to avoid most if not all interference to amateurs. The “problem” companies, notably Main.net and Ambient, have gained very little traction in the marketplace. It was with mixed feelings that we greeted the news that Motorola had halted work on its Powerline LV system, since it was the best of the lot when it came to protecting the amateur bands; on the other hand, the fact that Motorola saw little potential for a market for the product validated our view. By the way, we are constrained from trumpeting the success of our work with industry because it could undermine our judicial and legislative efforts; neither judges nor legislators like to spend time on moot issues. While the inadequacies of the FCC’s rules and the procedures by which they were adopted are very real, and while they establish undesirable precedents, it could be argued that the steps being taken voluntarily (at our strong urging) by industry are enough to address the BPL interference issue. It does not serve our interests to provide any support for that view, at least for now. IARU In addition to the June ITU meetings (those mentioned above plus that of Working Party 8A, the “home” of the amateur and amateur-satellite services), in my capacity as IARU Secretary I attended the April 2007 meeting of the IARU Region 1 Executive Committee in Cavtat, Croatia, which will be the site of the IARU Region 1 Conference in November 2008. Cavtat is near the Dubrovnik Airport and the facilities there are excellent. On my way home I represented both the IARU and the ARRL at the 75th Anniversary Banquet of the Irish Radio Transmitters Society in Cork. The 2007 meeting of the IARU Administrative Council was held in Boston on May 14-15, so for a change it did not require international travel on my part. As we had hoped, several attendees from other parts of the world were able to include ARRL/IARU Headquarters and the Dayton Hamvention in their itineraries. I will attend the IARU Region 2 Conference in Brasilia, September 9-14. In January I said that I was not planning to attend WRC-07 in Geneva, which is scheduled to run from October 22 until November 16, but that I was designated as the backup to Paul Rinaldo on the IARU observer team. It now seems likely that I will attend the first two weeks of the conference. At this point the prospects for gaining some sort of secondary LF allocation near 136 kHz appear to be good, as do the prospects for retaining what we gained at 7 MHz in 2003 and for defending our 7200-7300 kHz allocation in Region 2. However, any additional gains in allocations at this conference seem unlikely. IARU Vice President Tim Ellam, VE6SH, will present a WRC-07 report to the Board during the course of the meeting. ARRL Travel In addition to several trips to Washington and the March meeting of the Executive Committee in Salt Lake City, I had the pleasure in March of accompanying President Harrison to Starkville, Mississippi for a stem-to-stern tour of MFJ Enterprises. I was also the banquet speaker at the Visalia (California) DX Convention, attended as much of the Hamvention as I could without missing my daughter’s law school graduation, and helped man the ARRL stand in Friedrichshafen during the largest amateur radio event in Europe (which just happened to coincide with the end of the ITU WP meetings in Geneva). Regulatory Information Branch The first half of 2007 has been extremely busy for Dan Henderson, N1ND in the Regulatory Information Branch (RIB). Dan reports directly to me. January, February and March were filled with work related to the FCC Dockets 04-140 and 05-235. After the implementation of these, RIB identified numerous differences between the two Reports and Orders and the final rule changes appearing in the Federal Register. Dan worked closely with Bill Cross at the FCC to clarify these discrepancies, which will be corrected in a future action. As part of this project he also worked with the Publications Manager on preparing an updated version of Part 97, which will be available for sale by the ARRL. Since early April, the biggest project in the RIB has been working as the liaison between the Department of Defense, Air Force Spectrum Management Agency, New England Spectrum Management Council, Northern Amateur Relay Council of California, ARRL Lab and approximately 120 individual repeater owners on the PAVE PAWS radar issue. The DoD and AFSMA have identified 105 repeaters in California and 15 in New England that are alleged to be causing harmful interference to the PPR systems at Beale AFB near Sacramento and Otis AFB on Cape Cod. Working closely with Paul Rinaldo, Chris Imlay and Ed Hare, we are in contact with the repeater owners to provide information, work on implementation of a plan designed to correctly identify the repeaters, and to assist the owners in developing mitigation strategies to meet the DoD’s requirements for necessary relief. The goal has been, and remains, doing what is necessary to meet the Part 97 requirement as a secondary service in the 420-MHz band to provide the necessary protection of the primary service on the band while trying to keep as many of the repeaters in the affected areas on the air and useable by the amateur community. This project will continue in earnest through the second half of 2007. The RIB also continues to be involved in other tasks. We are continuing to recruit new participants in the Volunteer Counsel and Volunteer Consulting Engineer programs, as well as working on maintaining update information on existing participants. Dan averages approximately a dozen calls each week on international / reciprocal operating rules. An article was written for the May issue of QST updating members on the current status of PRB-1 and highlighting the differences between PRB-1 and CC&R issues. During the first half of 2007 the RIB has also been providing information and monitoring the status of various pieces of legislation in numerous state legislatures that either could affect (such as bills placing restrictions on communications devices used while mobile) or did affect (such as state PRB-1 laws) amateur radio interests. During the first six months of 2007 Oklahoma and North Carolina became states 24 and 25 to pass state PRB-1 legislation. Finally, Dan continues to work with the FCC Enforcement Bureau Special Counsel Riley Hollingsworth by providing many “first response” contacts to individuals who contact the FCC for basic rules clarifications or queries, as well as working with him as he looks at various possible enforcement issues when questions arise in his fact finding. Dan has been briefed on the Grassroots Legislative Action Program and is prepared to provide staff support as required. Media and Public Relations Allen Pitts, W1AGP also reports directly to me. Allen continues to find creative ways to convey positive messages about Amateur Radio. This year’s Field Day publicity was possibly the best ever. Allen’s report will be distributed as an annex. 2007 Part Deux Thanks to Mary Hobart’s unprecedented success in fundraising during the first half of 2007 as well as to our hitting or surpassing our other financial targets, at this point we can – for a change – be reasonably confident of avoiding a deficit for the year despite the unusual expenses associated with our legal challenge of the FCC and with WRC-07. For the remainder of the year, our focus is on maintaining the momentum of the past five months, achieving the remaining objectives for the year, and planning for a healthy 2008. Thanks to Barry Shelley’s successful negotiation of medical insurance coverage through the end of next year, for the first time we will go into the planning cycle knowing what our costs will be in this significant area. It looks like a busy election cycle for Director and Vice Director in five divisions, a process being ably looked after by Lisa Kustosik. Of course, the bulk of what the ARRL staff is doing for the protection, promotion and advancement of Amateur Radio and in service to our members is contained in Harold Kramer’s report, Document #9, which I commend to your attention. Harold’s efforts to strengthen the staff continue to bear fruit. Paul Rinaldo will not be present at the Board Meeting for medical reasons, but his report on the good work of the Technical Relations Office is also worth careful reading. I will be happy to address any related questions that may arise during the course of the meeting. The ARRL fields a good team, from President Harrison on down to the newest field volunteer. On behalf of the entire staff, let me say that it is a pleasure to work for, and with, you all. Sincere 73, David Sumner, K1ZZ Chief Executive Officer Page  PAGE 7 July 2007 Document #8  %9Jqr`a‚ƒ„‘a{‚ƒŽž¹ûüý)*STwxŸ ÐÑôõGHyz¥ŠÐÑ45fg”•ÇÈÔ×BDí-g.h.u.†..»7œ7×>Ø>õGüùóóüîæîãîÕÊÅÕÊÅÕÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÊÅÁ¿¹Ž¹¹¿ünHtHnHo(
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